System Reliability Modeling

My master’s thesis project, supported by the US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), entailed constructing a Monte Carlo simulation model for the reliability analysis of dam operations on the Missouri River. This initiative yielded novel insights into the role of systems engineering practices in dam operations, consequently enhancing the modeling techniques employed in dam safety studies.

Conference paper

Zihui Ma, Robert C. Patev, Lingyao Li, Gregory B. Baecher. “Missouri River System Simulation”, US Society on Dams Annual Conference, San Diego, April 11-14.

What explains right-wing radicalization in the US? Research shows that demographic changes and economic decline both drive support for the far-right. We contribute to this research agenda by 1) studying the elusive early stages in the process of radicalization and 2) highlighting an additional factor that contributes to right-wing radicalization in the US: the impact of foreign wars on society at home. We argue that the communities that bear the greatest costs of foreign wars are most prone to high rates of right-wing radicalization. To support this claim, we present robust correlations between participation in the far-right social media website Parler and fatalities among residents who served in the US wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. This correlation holds at both the county and census tract level, and persists after controlling for the level of military service in an area. The costs of the US’s foreign wars have important effects on domestic US politics.

Conference Paper